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0xee3bd8...12657c

0xee3bd8...12657c
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
29.5%
Total P&L
+$8.1K
Trade Count
1,509
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
18.92
Max Drawdown
184.5%
ROI
9.5%
Profit Factor
3.94
Kelly Fraction
0.220
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY18.0¢100Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL72.0¢30.76Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY45.0¢200Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢0.2Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢30Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢25.5Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY65.0¢30.769Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢50Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢21.79Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢9.8Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢19.6Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL64.0¢100Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢23.11Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY59.0¢100Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL39.0¢560.91Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL39.1¢160Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY24.5¢339.454Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL14.1¢587Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%11%10–20%16%20–30%15%30–50%12%50–70%7%70–80%5%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.9%
Win Consistency37.7%
Profit Factor0.91
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity1,509 trades · 44 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,10519d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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