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0xee5e8e...d77f1c

0xee5e8e...d77f1c
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
55.7%
Total P&L
+$580
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
1.09
Sortino Ratio
11.32
Max Drawdown
4676.4%
ROI
2.8%
Profit Factor
1.26
Kelly Fraction
0.116
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL63.0¢0.18Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.3¢0.63Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.8¢0.04Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.6¢0.02Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.6¢0.87Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.6¢1.74Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY98.0¢3.031Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.0¢5.81Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY69.0¢51.725Mar 5
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL90.0¢36.41Mar 5
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL90.0¢2.222Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY62.0¢9.29Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY97.0¢1.289Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY69.0¢10.551Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY68.0¢20.985Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY68.0¢2.088Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY68.0¢9.588Mar 4
Hurricanes vs. CanucksBUY75.0¢20Mar 4
Hurricanes vs. CanucksBUY74.0¢20.257Mar 4
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)BUY66.0¢9.076Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%23%30–50%34%50–70%13%70–80%12%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.3%
Win Consistency39.6%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,4317d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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