0xee6766...3e88df

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.5%

Total P&L

+$2.7K

Trade Count

1,813

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-0.42

Max Drawdown

1305.9%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.113

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	84.1¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	44	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	6.43	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	70	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	73	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	151.49	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	53.29	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	59.99	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	322.76	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	87.7¢	300	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	33.0¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	93.6¢	300	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	91.3¢	200	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	316.06	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	92.0¢	43.61	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.6%

Win Consistency36.0%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity1,701 trades · 78 active days

P&L Calendar

$177,6567d profit69d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue