0xee7c80...a9ebbc

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.4%

Total P&L

+$6.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.59

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

103.9%

Profit Factor

104.69

Kelly Fraction

0.708

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

082.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	2,000	Mar 5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.3¢	1,174.82	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.7¢	4,547.07	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	192.481	Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	12.1¢	402.645	Feb 27
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	2,000	Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	15.8¢	317.332	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.2¢	4,547.079	Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	13.0¢	772.177	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	588.235	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	650	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	66.667	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	50	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	21.429	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro82.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)75.0%

Win Consistency100.0%

Profit Factor2.14

Drawdown Resilience1.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.73

Weekly Sharpe est.1.32

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue