0xef5744...15827d

Smart Score

Win Rate

99.0%

Total P&L

-$2.5K

Trade Count

570

Sharpe Ratio

-0.87

Sortino Ratio

-0.69

Max Drawdown

68332.3%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

10.50

Kelly Fraction

0.895

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	1,176.86	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	30	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	15	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	28.14	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	13,645.595	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	17.63	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	1,000	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	50	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 2?	BUY	98.8¢	38.75	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	45	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	564.21	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	72.6¢	28.32	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1,082	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on March 2?	BUY	98.8¢	300	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	314.04	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	539.58	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	214.214	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	71.0¢	6.82	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	74.4¢	40	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.5%

Win Consistency32.2%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity553 trades · 72 active days

P&L Calendar

$329,4240d profit71d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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