0xef6d2e...b09bd2

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$12.2K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.28

Max Drawdown

31.5%

ROI

7.3%

Profit Factor

1.31

Kelly Fraction

0.129

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	SELL	50.8¢	408.7	Nov 16
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	SELL	0.2¢	527.73	Nov 14
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?	SELL	93.2¢	114.45	Nov 11
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	SELL	3.0¢	1,512.53	Nov 4
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?	SELL	92.7¢	378	Nov 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	93.5¢	456.556	Nov 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	BUY	47.0¢	666.74	Oct 30
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	BUY	53.0¢	719.792	Oct 29
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	88.2¢	1,200	Oct 29
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	BUY	51.7¢	408.7	Oct 28
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	BUY	39.8¢	126	Oct 25
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	BUY	40.4¢	527.73	Oct 25
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?	SELL	0.2¢	221.15	Oct 25
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?	SELL	13.7¢	707.31	Oct 24
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	SELL	59.0¢	2,000	Oct 23
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?	SELL	26.0¢	707.31	Oct 21
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?	SELL	46.0¢	129.47	Oct 21
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?	BUY	36.0¢	300	Oct 19
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?	BUY	35.6¢	200	Oct 19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?	BUY	84.0¢	200.01	Oct 19

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.3%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor1.07

Drawdown Resilience0.86

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.86

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity251 trades · 81 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,25933d profit47d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue