0xef7962...84c7e4

0xef7962...84c7e4
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
98.6%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
74
Sharpe Ratio
-1.42
Sortino Ratio
-1.30
Max Drawdown
92320.1%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
92.22
Kelly Fraction
0.976
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.6¢22.058Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.91Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.89Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.88Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢10.872Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.851Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.84Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?BUY99.9¢10.831Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.821Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY99.9¢10.811Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.8Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?BUY96.1¢10.786Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 21?BUY99.8¢10.371Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.35Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.34Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.32Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.31Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.3Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.29Feb 18
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%
Win Consistency18.9%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity74 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7770d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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