0xef937f...f792ed

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.7%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

8.90

Sortino Ratio

38.32

Max Drawdown

23.8%

ROI

2.2%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.016

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

063.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	BUY	35.9¢	2.785	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	BUY	24.9¢	8.032	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	2.35	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	BUY	41.9¢	2.387	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	14.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	17.5¢	48.392	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	23.0¢	8.696	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	19.048	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	13.7	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	BUY	36.0¢	13.889	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	16.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	11.765	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	8.22	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	BUY	36.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	5.64	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	BUY	35.0¢	5.714	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	SELL	80.1¢	2.66	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	BUY	22.0¢	13.636	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active63.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.5%

Win Consistency85.4%

Profit Factor1.64

Drawdown Resilience1.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.33

Weekly Sharpe est.1.01

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue