0xefc234...d4b7df

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

+$192

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.95

Sortino Ratio

16.63

Max Drawdown

14.9%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

2.55

Kelly Fraction

0.183

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

061.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	1.3¢	58.8	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 4?	BUY	90.0¢	6.51	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 4?	BUY	90.0¢	26	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 4?	BUY	2.8¢	46.786	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 3?	BUY	98.7¢	0.62	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 3?	BUY	98.7¢	183.846	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	20.87	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	BUY	99.1¢	0.53	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	BUY	99.1¢	195.556	Mar 1
Will The Bear win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	BUY	2.6¢	128.759	Feb 28
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $310,000 and $315,000 by March 1?	BUY	3.0¢	76.358	Feb 27
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	BUY	98.6¢	0.43	Feb 27
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	BUY	98.6¢	203.571	Feb 27
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	BUY	1.3¢	233.846	Feb 27
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $80 (LOW) by end of February?	BUY	1.2¢	230.833	Feb 27
Will Trump talk to Mette Frederiksen in February?	BUY	1.4¢	123.571	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or higher on February 6?	BUY	99.0¢	0.8	Feb 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or higher on February 6?	BUY	99.0¢	209	Feb 5
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 31?	BUY	97.5¢	0.28	Jan 31
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 31?	BUY	97.5¢	190.4	Jan 31

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active61.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.0%

Win Consistency56.3%

Profit Factor1.60

Drawdown Resilience1.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.98

Trading Activity87 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,7590d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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