0xefddc1...a08370

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.1%

Total P&L

-$536

Trade Count

3,970

Sharpe Ratio

1.14

Sortino Ratio

4.17

Max Drawdown

208.6%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

1.38

Kelly Fraction

0.169

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	50	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	50	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	50	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	39.66	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	10.34	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	50	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	99	Mar 5
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?	SELL	34.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?	SELL	34.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?	SELL	33.0¢	23.79	Mar 5
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in March?	BUY	72.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	BUY	15.0¢	5.1	Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?	SELL	29.0¢	28	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	50	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	35	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	15	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	46.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in March 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.5%

Win Consistency59.5%

Profit Factor0.84

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity3,970 trades · 57 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,55614d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue