0xefe4e9...e0e484

Smart Score

Win Rate

7.7%

Total P&L

-$15

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.00

Sortino Ratio

25.19

Max Drawdown

48.8%

ROI

-5.7%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	BUY	9.4¢	106.383	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?	BUY	27.0¢	37.037	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 27?	SELL	2.5¢	42.55	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 27?	BUY	4.7¢	42.553	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?	SELL	43.0¢	30	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?	SELL	40.0¢	30	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?	BUY	15.0¢	60	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?	SELL	19.0¢	0.73	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?	SELL	19.0¢	55.55	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?	BUY	9.0¢	111.111	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?	SELL	7.0¢	166.66	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 24?	SELL	0.1¢	155.87	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?	BUY	6.0¢	166.667	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 24?	BUY	7.1¢	155.875	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 12?	BUY	6.0¢	283.333	Feb 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?	SELL	3.9¢	100	Feb 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?	BUY	14.0¢	100	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?	BUY	1.9¢	323.684	Jan 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 29?	BUY	15.0¢	133.333	Jan 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?	SELL	5.0¢	125	Jan 22

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.1%

Win Consistency71.4%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity26 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$623d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue