0xf01648...9e65ff

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.5%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

253

Sharpe Ratio

0.70

Sortino Ratio

4.56

Max Drawdown

213.2%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.017

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	7.02	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.7¢	12.08	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	12.077	Mar 5
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	7.028	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	7.14	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	7.14	Mar 5
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	5.06	Mar 4
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	5.061	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	9.52	Mar 4
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	6.01	Mar 4
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	6.018	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	9.524	Mar 4
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	9.02	Mar 4
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	8.081	Mar 4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.5¢	8.11	Mar 4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.6¢	8.114	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	7.021	Mar 4
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	9.027	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.3%

Win Consistency44.0%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity253 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$17914d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue