0xf01da2...78e7ee

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.4%

Total P&L

-$517

Trade Count

668

Sharpe Ratio

0.12

Sortino Ratio

4.55

Max Drawdown

617.5%

ROI

-4.5%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Israel military action against Iran in March?	SELL	5.5¢	100	Mar 20
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?	BUY	0.7¢	57.14	Mar 20
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?	BUY	0.7¢	2.518	Mar 20
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?	BUY	0.7¢	1.672	Mar 20
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during Digital Asset Summit?	BUY	7.0¢	23.65	Mar 20
Will Trump say "Million" 10+ times during Digital Asset Summit?	BUY	6.0¢	100	Mar 20
Will Trump say "Reserve" during Digital Asset Summit?	BUY	15.0¢	17.33	Mar 20
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during Digital Asset Summit?	BUY	7.0¢	1.075	Mar 20
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during Digital Asset Summit?	BUY	7.0¢	75.269	Mar 20
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?	BUY	8.0¢	500	Mar 19
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?	SELL	18.0¢	299.64	Mar 19
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?	SELL	46.0¢	21	Mar 19
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?	BUY	22.0¢	21	Mar 18
Was JFK assassination an inside job?	SELL	2.3¢	100	Mar 18
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?	SELL	2.3¢	100	Mar 18
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?	BUY	71.9¢	80.701	Mar 18
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?	BUY	74.0¢	67.568	Mar 18
Israel military action against Iran in March?	BUY	9.0¢	100	Mar 18
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?	BUY	3.2¢	100	Mar 17
Was JFK assassination an inside job?	BUY	3.3¢	100	Mar 17

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%

Win Consistency54.2%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue