0xf023a1...451a14

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.5%

Total P&L

-$44

Trade Count

155

Sharpe Ratio

2.59

Sortino Ratio

124.52

Max Drawdown

39.1%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	3.9¢	25.64	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	BUY	36.9¢	2.71	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	18.0¢	41.111	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	64.0¢	2	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	73.0¢	1.37	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	SELL	93.0¢	4.97	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	BUY	57.0¢	3.509	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET	SELL	11.0¢	21.11	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	SELL	69.0¢	2.99	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	85.0¢	5.882	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET	SELL	56.0¢	2.12	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	SELL	97.0¢	1.54	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.9%

Win Consistency62.7%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity155 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$4290d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue