0xf0282f...bbc587

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.4%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

123

Sharpe Ratio

0.56

Sortino Ratio

2.94

Max Drawdown

71.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.67

Kelly Fraction

0.273

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	607.84	Mar 5
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	607.84	Mar 5
Senators vs. Flames	BUY	40.0¢	164.77	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	730.64	Mar 4
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	730.64	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	679.54	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	679.539	Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	647	Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	647	Mar 4
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	99.7¢	52.888	Mar 4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	786.08	Mar 3
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	786.08	Mar 3
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	635.59	Mar 3
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	635.591	Mar 3
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	661	Mar 3
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	661	Mar 3
Jones vs. Gentzsch: Match O/U 23.5	BUY	51.0¢	142.98	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	589.15	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	589.157	Mar 2
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	561.94	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.9%

Win Consistency28.3%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity123 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$9194d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue