0xf0441c...9c0789

0xf0441c...9c0789
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
90.0%
Total P&L
-$87
Trade Count
21
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
6.22
Max Drawdown
19.8%
ROI
-17.0%
Profit Factor
0.01
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
030/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 6?BUY99.8¢51.102Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 28?BUY99.8¢29.058Feb 27
Thunder vs. RaptorsBUY51.0¢170.588Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 19?BUY99.8¢27.054Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on February 19?BUY99.7¢27.081Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 39°C on January 29?BUY99.9¢23.023Jan 29
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $555 end of January?BUY99.9¢21.021Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 40°C or higher on January 29?BUY99.9¢12.012Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 38°C on January 29?BUY99.8¢20.04Jan 29
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY99.9¢21.021Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 42°C on January 26?BUY99.9¢29.029Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 22°F or higher on January 26?BUY99.9¢14.014Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 22°F or higher on January 26?BUY99.9¢14.014Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 43°C on January 26?BUY99.9¢27.027Jan 25
Will Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?BUY99.9¢14.014Jan 22
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?BUY99.9¢26.026Jan 15
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?BUY99.9¢23.023Jan 14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 10?BUY99.9¢20.02Jan 9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or below on January 9?BUY99.9¢13.013Jan 8
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY99.9¢9.009Dec 30
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%95%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%
Win Consistency30.0%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity21 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5080d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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