0xf0587a...afe173

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.7%

Total P&L

+$48.5K

Trade Count

213

Sharpe Ratio

0.26

Sortino Ratio

5.77

Max Drawdown

1671.4%

ROI

416.4%

Profit Factor

22.13

Kelly Fraction

0.551

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	120.5	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?	BUY	13.6¢	1,104.363	Mar 5
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	9.5¢	355.333	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	21.0¢	226.34	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	180.4	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	66.66	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	3,395	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	5.08	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	45	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	45	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	312.86	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	50	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	40	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	155	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.8¢	500	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	24.6¢	368.6	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.8¢	1,085.5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.7%

Win Consistency35.2%

Profit Factor1.22

Drawdown Resilience0.98

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98

Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Trading Activity185 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,4645d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue