0xf05b4e...f2c774

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.6%

Total P&L

+$13

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.69

Sortino Ratio

9.14

Max Drawdown

108.3%

ROI

8.5%

Profit Factor

1.20

Kelly Fraction

0.047

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?	BUY	4.3¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?	BUY	22.0¢	16.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?	BUY	18.8¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 6?	BUY	48.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	99.8¢	40	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?	SELL	1.1¢	98.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	18.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?	BUY	3.0¢	90	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?	BUY	2.0¢	8.95	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?	BUY	12.5¢	50	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	23.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	29.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 3?	BUY	25.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?	BUY	52.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?	BUY	30.0¢	7.15	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?	BUY	30.0¢	2.85	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?	BUY	30.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?	BUY	29.0¢	5.25	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?	BUY	41.0¢	20	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 2?	BUY	18.0¢	20	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity27 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$661d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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