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0xf069e0...6da45e

0xf069e0...6da45e
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
48.5%
Total P&L
+$36
Trade Count
45
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33
Sortino Ratio
-0.63
Max Drawdown
1524.3%
ROI
12.5%
Profit Factor
1.98
Kelly Fraction
0.240
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?BUY45.0¢2.222Mar 5
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-07?BUY39.0¢2.564Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY18.0¢5.556Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?SELL90.3¢21.5Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY26.5¢21.51Mar 4
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?BUY4.0¢251.51Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY74.0¢6.757Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY26.0¢7.692Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY54.0¢9.259Mar 3
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?BUY86.0¢5.814Mar 3
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?BUY96.9¢3.56Feb 27
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?BUY89.0¢8.461Feb 23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?SELL95.7¢7.87Feb 19
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?BUY86.0¢15.581Feb 11
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?BUY81.0¢6.173Feb 11
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?BUY78.0¢2.564Feb 11
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?BUY96.5¢20.383Feb 9
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?BUY4.8¢20.823Feb 9
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?BUY89.0¢1.124Feb 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%8%10–20%14%20–30%14%30–50%5%50–70%8%70–80%22%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.4%
Win Consistency48.5%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity45 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$913d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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