0xf08cc1...6c7db6

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.4%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.39

Sortino Ratio

0.37

Max Drawdown

25.4%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

3.31

Kelly Fraction

0.541

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

059.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	99.0¢	25.253	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	76.0¢	11.11	Jan 26
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	94.7¢	24.287	Jan 26
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	BUY	93.0¢	26.882	Nov 26
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	0.6¢	333.333	Nov 26
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	91.0¢	18.549	Oct 23
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	5.06	Oct 23
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	99.5¢	4.84	Oct 23
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	SELL	93.1¢	4.86	Oct 23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	65.0¢	4.54	Oct 23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	71.0¢	2.73	Oct 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	96.1¢	15.734	Oct 23
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	BUY	89.4¢	11.186	Sep 20
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	97.2¢	10	Sep 20
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	99.7¢	3,070	Sep 20
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	3,074.85	Sep 20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	BUY	95.0¢	8.421	Sep 20
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	BUY	61.5¢	4.878	Sep 6
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?	BUY	89.0¢	5.618	Sep 6
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	82.3¢	4.86	Sep 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active59.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.1%

Win Consistency77.4%

Profit Factor1.55

Drawdown Resilience1.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.95

Trading Activity31 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1940d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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