0xf0dadb...434732

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.77

Sortino Ratio

-3.02

Max Drawdown

91.6%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

6.80

Kelly Fraction

0.512

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	7	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	1.833	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	82.0¢	0.07	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	82.0¢	0.05	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.09	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.05	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	52.0¢	3.23	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	3.23	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.15	Mar 5
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	91.0¢	1.209	Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	BUY	38.0¢	2.895	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	25.0¢	4.4	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	2.157	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	44.0¢	2.5	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	81.0¢	1.358	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	1.341	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	2.157	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.1¢	1.339	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.444	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.6%

Win Consistency20.0%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue