0xf0f635...343836

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.7%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

158

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.07

Max Drawdown

123.2%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

1.01

Kelly Fraction

0.006

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	96.774	Mar 5
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	BUY	73.0¢	68.493	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	BUY	91.5¢	227.419	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	79.6¢	62.814	Mar 5
Blues vs. Kraken	SELL	93.0¢	22.47	Mar 5
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies	BUY	93.0¢	22	Mar 5
Blues vs. Kraken	BUY	89.0¢	22.472	Mar 5
Hurricanes vs. Canucks	SELL	90.9¢	110.74	Mar 5
Hurricanes vs. Canucks	BUY	89.0¢	112.36	Mar 5
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	66.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	88.0¢	56.818	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	35.7¢	13.61	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	93.3¢	53.574	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	13.61	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	105.263	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	31.915	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	116.279	Feb 27
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?	BUY	53.0¢	28.302	Feb 15
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers	BUY	88.9¢	76.466	Feb 15
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?	SELL	56.0¢	57.14	Feb 15

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency52.8%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity158 trades · 69 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,88514d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue