0xf0f816...0a567b

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.44

Sortino Ratio

1.27

Max Drawdown

276.1%

ROI

1.2%

Profit Factor

3.67

Kelly Fraction

0.364

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	63.0¢	2.619	Mar 5
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	22.0¢	4.591	Feb 7
Cavaliers vs. Suns	BUY	50.0¢	2	Jan 29
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	BUY	46.0¢	5.2	Dec 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 21?	BUY	99.9¢	1,003.003	Nov 20
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 20?	BUY	0.2¢	1,010	Nov 19
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?	SELL	16.0¢	0.7	Oct 3
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?	BUY	17.0¢	0.706	Oct 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	49.0¢	20.939	Sep 29

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.1%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity6 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0100d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue