0xf1148a...97e4ef

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.1%

Total P&L

+$305

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.85

Sortino Ratio

12.00

Max Drawdown

155.2%

ROI

28.6%

Profit Factor

2.51

Kelly Fraction

0.247

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	64.2¢	3.115	Mar 5
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.6¢	13.782	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	16.129	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	14.706	Mar 5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	5.2¢	96.773	Mar 5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	32.7¢	30.581	Mar 5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	51.0¢	39.216	Mar 5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	32.8¢	91.52	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	70.0¢	71.429	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	34.0¢	88.119	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	44.6¢	22.444	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	23.81	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	23.81	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.9¢	67.114	Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	5.0¢	100.4	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.4¢	22.597	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.6¢	94.717	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	5.1¢	593.671	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.5¢	4,000	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.9%

Win Consistency44.1%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.69

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity79 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0640d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue