0xf114a5...dc0641

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.9%

Total P&L

+$45

Trade Count

236

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

0.84

Max Drawdown

7592.8%

ROI

10.2%

Profit Factor

1.51

Kelly Fraction

0.071

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	6.667	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	26.788	Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.4¢	5.435	Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	41.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	2.4¢	41.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 4?	BUY	65.7¢	1.523	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	3.5¢	28.571	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 3?	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 3?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 2?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	6.0¢	16.767	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 2?	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 1?	SELL	99.4¢	2.22	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 1?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 1?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.4%

Win Consistency38.2%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity236 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

+$119d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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