0xf11b16...ad856d

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.2%

Total P&L

+$191

Trade Count

329

Sharpe Ratio

1.69

Sortino Ratio

36.30

Max Drawdown

115.9%

ROI

10.5%

Profit Factor

1.50

Kelly Fraction

0.077

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	29.0¢	3.448	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	21.9¢	4.566	Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	30.4¢	4.803	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	32.4¢	7.75	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	49.0¢	3.22	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	37.0¢	3.33	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	18.0¢	6.13	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	54.0¢	1.92	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	30.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	9.417	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	41.0¢	3.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	26.0¢	8.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	25.5¢	16.66	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	16.3¢	6.135	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Syria in March?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.2%

Win Consistency52.8%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity329 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$3296d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue