0xf12ed3...a07939

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.7%

Total P&L

+$2.3K

Trade Count

272

Sharpe Ratio

0.37

Sortino Ratio

1.30

Max Drawdown

7967907000000000.0%

ROI

5.1%

Profit Factor

9.57

Kelly Fraction

0.481

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	25.0¢	200	Mar 5
OKX IPO in 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	100	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	10.0¢	16.48	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	10.0¢	83.52	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	19.0¢	200	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	2,000	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	44.6¢	7.7	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	43.1¢	384.57	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	42.0¢	7.7	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	41.7¢	22.87	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	41.7¢	1.715	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	41.7¢	3.431	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	41.7¢	371.96	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency51.3%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity272 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,76223d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue