0xf138b1...2e390f

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.4%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.35

Sortino Ratio

-1.19

Max Drawdown

153176.4%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

8.45

Kelly Fraction

0.867

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	21.301	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.351	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.33	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.32	Feb 27
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?	BUY	99.9¢	10.31	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.3	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.29	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.28	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?	BUY	99.5¢	10.271	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.22	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.21	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.2	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on February 18?	BUY	99.8¢	10.19	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.17	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.16	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 16?	BUY	99.9¢	10.15	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	10.14	Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	10.13	Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	10.12	Feb 14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 14?	BUY	99.9¢	10.11	Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency24.6%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity61 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$6340d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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