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0xf13912...a7d858

0xf13912...a7d858
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
88.9%
Total P&L
+$711
Trade Count
50
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Max Drawdown
314.3%
ROI
19.0%
Profit Factor
7181.34
Kelly Fraction
0.889
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?BUY98.8¢1.488Jun 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?BUY98.6¢1.602May 20
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?BUY98.9¢1.618Apr 25
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?BUY96.5¢1.585Apr 11
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?SELL66.1¢9Mar 28
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?SELL10.7¢8Mar 25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?BUY68.7¢9Mar 24
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?BUY10.7¢8Mar 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 7?BUY99.2¢851Mar 6
Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern StateBUY52.0¢151Mar 3
Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern StateBUY52.0¢693Mar 3
Will Ryan Reynolds attend the Oscars?SELL49.0¢424.16Mar 2
Will Ryan Reynolds attend the Oscars?SELL20.0¢1,154.84Mar 2
Will Ryan Reynolds attend the Oscars?BUY75.0¢1,579Mar 2
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?SELL96.9¢129Mar 2
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?BUY98.2¢129Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 1?BUY1.2¢611Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 1?BUY1.2¢76Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 1?BUY1.2¢96Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 1?BUY1.2¢142Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%30–50%9%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.1%
Win Consistency70.4%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity5 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$01d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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