0xf1676f...3ad108

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.3%

Total P&L

+$101

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.10

Sortino Ratio

13.84

Max Drawdown

200.0%

ROI

25.0%

Profit Factor

875.05

Kelly Fraction

0.932

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	58.058	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 2°C on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	51.112	Feb 27
Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?	BUY	95.1¢	72.541	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on February 23?	BUY	99.9¢	16.016	Feb 22
Bucks vs. Wizards	BUY	45.0¢	177.778	Jan 29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	18.018	Jan 28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 28?	BUY	99.9¢	19.019	Jan 27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	21.021	Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on January 24?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Jan 23
Will Tim Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	15.015	Jan 15
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	15.015	Jan 14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on January 9?	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 8
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	3.006	Dec 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	15.03	Dec 30
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Dec 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.9%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor1.08

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity15 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$4060d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue