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0xf17466...c6da40

0xf17466...c6da40
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
11.1%
Total P&L
+$29
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
5.41
Sortino Ratio
40224.07
Max Drawdown
14.0%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
8.15
Kelly Fraction
0.098
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
058.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.8¢506.073Mar 5
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢506.07Mar 5
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.8¢506.073Mar 5
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢516.19Mar 5
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢516.194Mar 5
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢505.56Mar 5
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢505.561Mar 5
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢506.58Mar 5
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢506.586Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢506.07Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.8¢506.073Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢505.56Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢505.561Mar 5
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢505.56Mar 5
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢505.561Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.6¢502Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢502.008Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.6¢501.5Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢501.504Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?BUY67.0¢16Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%29%50–70%70–80%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active58.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.3%
Win Consistency20.0%
Profit Factor1.52
Drawdown Resilience1.23
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23
Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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