0xf19ae3...0fb500

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.7%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.78

Sortino Ratio

-4.69

Max Drawdown

4989.3%

ROI

9.8%

Profit Factor

1.57

Kelly Fraction

0.141

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	3.6¢	120	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	24.7¢	11.5	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	17.4¢	11.5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	40.5¢	7.72	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	4.167	Mar 3
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	21.0¢	4.762	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	25.9¢	7.722	Mar 3
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	2.5¢	120	Mar 3
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	6.4¢	55.74	Mar 3
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	5.4¢	55.741	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	32.5¢	5.74	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	34.8¢	5.747	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	5.26	Mar 3
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	23.0¢	9.52	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	68.6¢	3.13	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	5.263	Mar 3
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	9.524	Mar 2
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	40.0¢	10	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	62.0¢	4.34	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.5%

Win Consistency29.0%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity54 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$34d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue