0xf1c74e...41e32a

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.8%

Total P&L

+$378

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.81

Sortino Ratio

-0.79

Max Drawdown

592.8%

ROI

14.2%

Profit Factor

8.52

Kelly Fraction

0.272

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	BUY	96.4¢	8.299	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	BUY	98.7¢	8.105	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	16.113	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	15.075	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	97.9¢	9.193	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	BUY	98.7¢	20.263	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	99.1¢	15.136	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	77.0¢	6.494	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	39.2¢	5.102	Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	144.35	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.6¢	9.25	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	97.0¢	54.495	Feb 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	94.0¢	127.66	Jan 7
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	0.5¢	400	Dec 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	54.0¢	9.259	Dec 20
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	69.0¢	28.986	Dec 20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.5¢	142.857	Dec 20
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	SELL	99.4¢	60.91	Dec 15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	4.4¢	113.636	Dec 1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	5.0¢	160	Dec 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.0%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity34 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2942d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue