0xf1d2ef...7e0bc0

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.8%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

1,672

Sharpe Ratio

1.00

Sortino Ratio

15.59

Max Drawdown

8415.7%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

2.77

Kelly Fraction

0.433

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	2.06	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	208.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	57.0¢	26.15	Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	94.6¢	10	Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	94.6¢	11.09	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	83.8¢	59.05	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	29.96	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	1.926	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	1.926	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	6.45	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	1.926	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	1.926	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	6.981	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	3.704	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	19.05	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	87.0¢	57.47	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	89.0¢	55.56	Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.8¢	45	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	25.0¢	25.07	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	23.27	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.0%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity1,672 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,5604d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue