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0xf1d77c...760808

0xf1d77c...760808
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
59.1%
Total P&L
-$42.5K
Trade Count
329
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Sortino Ratio
5.83
Max Drawdown
41.6%
ROI
-39.8%
Profit Factor
0.06
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL45.2¢6,500Nov 2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL40.8¢3,000Nov 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL39.8¢500Nov 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL39.7¢1,000Nov 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL39.6¢2,000Nov 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL39.3¢2,000Oct 31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY33.9¢15,000Oct 29
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?BUY0.8¢85.74Oct 19
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?BUY72.2¢991.99Sep 9
August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?SELL18.6¢420Sep 9
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?SELL61.2¢1,821Sep 7
August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?BUY37.7¢2,463.6Sep 7
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?SELL51.0¢599Sep 7
August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?BUY46.6¢3,082.3Sep 7
2024 August hottest on record?SELL1.7¢3,331.35Sep 7
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?SELL1.0¢577.36Sep 5
August temperature increase by less than 1.15°C?SELL0.2¢882.82Sep 5
August temperature increase by less than 1.15°C?SELL0.3¢1,537.18Sep 5
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?SELL1.0¢1,000Sep 5
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?SELL1.5¢842.64Sep 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%69%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%9%50–70%6%70–80%8%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.1%
Win Consistency71.4%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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