0xf1f531...9fd8a1

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.2%

Total P&L

-$109

Trade Count

2,589

Sharpe Ratio

1.42

Sortino Ratio

13.38

Max Drawdown

520.8%

ROI

-2.9%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	1.9¢	50	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	33.33	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	0.15	Mar 5
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	7.69	Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	18.0¢	5.26	Mar 5
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	SELL	24.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	26.0¢	3.7	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	38.0¢	2.56	Mar 5
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	SELL	40.0¢	2.32	Mar 5
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	SELL	48.8¢	2.04	Mar 5
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	31.74	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	SELL	1.2¢	71.42	Mar 5
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	1.2¢	61.2	Mar 5
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.8¢	111.11	Mar 5
Will Train Dreams win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	0.5¢	166.66	Mar 5
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	0.3¢	250	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 5
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 5
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 5
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency49.2%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity2,589 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2100d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue