Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xf1f81d...a0f4cb

0xf1f81d...a0f4cb
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
46.3%
Total P&L
+$11.0K
Trade Count
987
Sharpe Ratio
0.79
Sortino Ratio
93.51
Max Drawdown
138.8%
ROI
124.0%
Profit Factor
5.65
Kelly Fraction
0.381
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢1.699Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢0.552Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢1.325Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢4.819Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢1.699Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢1.81Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢18.072Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY4.0¢134.15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY4.0¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY4.0¢15.85Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY11.0¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY0.2¢4.32Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY0.2¢19.1Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY16.0¢24.83Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY16.0¢10.9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY16.0¢4.27Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?SELL85.0¢31.29Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?SELL3.0¢34Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY1.1¢200Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?SELL4.0¢49.99Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%18%10–20%13%20–30%14%30–50%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.9%
Win Consistency47.0%
Profit Factor1.20
Drawdown Resilience0.97
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97
Weekly Sharpe est.0.74
Trading Activity987 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,3165d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics