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0xf1ffb6...da9a20

0xf1ffb6...da9a20
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
49.2%
Total P&L
+$4.1K
Trade Count
1,384
Sharpe Ratio
0.82
Sortino Ratio
2.23
Max Drawdown
165.1%
ROI
5.6%
Profit Factor
8.20
Kelly Fraction
0.432
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY79.0¢258.43Mar 5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?BUY41.7¢107.857Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL50.0¢495Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY80.0¢43.77Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL79.0¢44.31Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.6¢75.59Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.6¢17.422Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.6¢8.711Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.6¢174.216Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.6¢10.453Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.6¢26.751Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.5¢150Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.3¢145.069Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY56.0¢47Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY56.0¢45Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL59.5¢0.02Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL61.2¢27.93Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL61.2¢1.634Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL61.2¢162.582Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL60.5¢140.76Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%8%10–20%6%20–30%27%30–50%27%50–70%16%70–80%7%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.1%
Win Consistency48.1%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity1,384 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,5968d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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