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0xf25b97...6882d0

0xf25b97...6882d0
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
38.5%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
3,995
Sharpe Ratio
0.97
Sortino Ratio
43.62
Max Drawdown
34.4%
ROI
8.0%
Profit Factor
1.57
Kelly Fraction
0.139
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL1.0¢40Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.50% and 8.00%?SELL0.1¢80Mar 5
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?SELL8.3¢20Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?SELL0.2¢100Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?SELL0.4¢51.87Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?SELL1.1¢40Mar 5
Zuffa Boxing 4: Juarez vs. Anderson (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY12.0¢50Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?BUY3.3¢100Mar 5
Zuffa Boxing 4: Opetaia vs. Glanton (Cruiserweight, Main)BUY9.0¢50Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 5?BUY8.9¢20Mar 5
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY8.0¢13Mar 5
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY8.0¢50Mar 5
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?BUY2.0¢20Mar 5
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?SELL1.9¢20Mar 5
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?BUY5.0¢50Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL99.9¢50Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.50% and 8.00%?BUY0.1¢19Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.50% and 8.00%?BUY0.1¢21Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?SELL2.0¢68.84Mar 4
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?SELL9.2¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%71%< 10%9%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.6%
Win Consistency51.1%
Profit Factor1.45
Drawdown Resilience1.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89
Trading Activity3,995 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,7867d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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