0xf25c11...2697a5

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.8%

Total P&L

-$150

Trade Count

113

Sharpe Ratio

2.29

Sortino Ratio

10.32

Max Drawdown

1455.3%

ROI

-9.1%

Profit Factor

0.67

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.9¢	60.403	Mar 5
Fed rate hike in 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	100	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	147.059	Mar 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	142.857	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	23.3¢	65.15	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	40.26	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	31.1¢	32.154	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	21.25	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	25	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	BUY	7.6¢	39.351	Feb 28
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	SELL	60.3¢	47.67	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	41.667	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	BUY	5.6¢	89.286	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	33.333	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	38.462	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	29.8¢	33.612	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	29.9¢	50.167	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	38.68	Feb 28
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	SELL	55.0¢	47.67	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%

Win Consistency59.3%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity113 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$4362d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue