0xf25c50...22a9d1

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.1%

Total P&L

+$69

Trade Count

728

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Sortino Ratio

113.43

Max Drawdown

1099.5%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

1.15

Kelly Fraction

0.066

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	91.0¢	25	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.3¢	29.97	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	BUY	76.0¢	12	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.3¢	10	Mar 5
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	91.0¢	16	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.3¢	10	Mar 5
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	59.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	50.6¢	25.196	Mar 5
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	25	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.3¢	29.96	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.4¢	10	Mar 4
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	16	Mar 4
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.6¢	10	Mar 4
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	24.0¢	19.64	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BUY	19.9¢	5.025	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	19	Mar 4
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	94.5¢	10	Mar 4
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	SELL	22.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	10	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency43.5%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity728 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4283d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue