0xf25ff4...234c29
0xf25ff4...234c29
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
15.4%
Total P&L
-$44
Trade Count
14
Sharpe Ratio
1.82
Sortino Ratio
35.86
Max Drawdown
6056.7%
ROI
-65.8%
Profit Factor
0.27
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.1/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ET | BUY | 50.8¢ | 28.241 | Mar 5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET | BUY | 51.0¢ | 19.608 | Feb 13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3PM ET | BUY | 17.4¢ | 57.444 | Feb 5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 2.6¢ | 232.5 | Feb 5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 41.0¢ | 12.195 | Feb 3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 9.0¢ | 22.222 | Feb 1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 3.0¢ | 33.333 | Jan 31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 3.0¢ | 100 | Jan 31 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 21.0¢ | 14.286 | Jan 31 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 34.0¢ | 8.824 | Jan 31 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | BUY | 50.0¢ | 6 | Jan 31 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 29.7¢ | 6.733 | Jan 31 |
| Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more? | BUY | 0.9¢ | 222.222 | Jan 31 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.6¢ | 500 | Jan 31 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.1
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%
Win Consistency53.8%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity14 trades · 6 active days
P&L Calendar
$670d profit6d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
Unlock Full Analytics