0xf26272...750096

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.4%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.10

Max Drawdown

42.9%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.31

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	996.49	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	998.49	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	998.49	Mar 4
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.6¢	998.49	Mar 4
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	998.49	Mar 3
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	99.7¢	999.5	Mar 3
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	99.9¢	999.5	Mar 2
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	110	Nov 6
Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	111	Nov 6
Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	28.66	Oct 19
Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	25	Oct 19
Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	46.34	Oct 19
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	41.62	Oct 14
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?	BUY	0.1¢	78.378	Oct 14
Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?	BUY	0.2¢	60	Sep 26
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?	BUY	0.2¢	55	Sep 26
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?	BUY	0.2¢	60	Sep 26
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?	BUY	0.2¢	50	Sep 26
Trump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time?	SELL	0.1¢	120	Sep 26
Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?	SELL	0.1¢	124	Sep 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.4%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity7 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$9981d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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