0xf26298...a2dbc7

Smart Score

Win Rate

12.8%

Total P&L

-$96

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.68

Sortino Ratio

6.02

Max Drawdown

1076.7%

ROI

-50.7%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	19.3¢	20.722	Mar 4
Will "People" be said 70+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)	BUY	16.0¢	31.25	Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	8.1¢	24.707	Feb 28
Will the US strike Iran next?	BUY	6.0¢	33.333	Feb 28
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	20.0¢	15	Feb 28
Will the US strike Somalia next?	BUY	3.2¢	31.25	Feb 28
Will the US strike Somalia next?	BUY	2.6¢	76.923	Feb 28
Will the US strike Somalia next?	BUY	3.0¢	66.667	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	5.1¢	74.118	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	28.775	Feb 27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?	BUY	12.0¢	100	Feb 22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	BUY	54.9¢	5.464	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	BUY	45.7¢	21.876	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	SELL	56.1¢	8.2	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	BUY	22.0¢	9.091	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	BUY	59.0¢	8.33	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	BUY	56.0¢	8.929	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	8.333	Feb 20

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.7%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity55 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1411d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue