0xf2af82...eed6b1

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.7%

Total P&L

-$34

Trade Count

179

Sharpe Ratio

-7.92

Sortino Ratio

-8.94

Max Drawdown

1850.5%

ROI

-11.8%

Profit Factor

-0.34

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SELL	52.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	BUY	27.9¢	4	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	SELL	50.0¢	2	Mar 4
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	BUY	43.0¢	3	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	31.6¢	4	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	56.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?	SELL	41.0¢	1	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	51.8¢	2	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?	SELL	64.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	48.0¢	1	Mar 4
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	SELL	20.0¢	0.87	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	55.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?	BUY	67.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	68.7¢	2	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SELL	54.0¢	2	Mar 4
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	BUY	67.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	SELL	22.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	BUY	23.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	31.3¢	4	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	SELL	63.0¢	2	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency25.4%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity179 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$403d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue