0xf2cb9b...799474

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.3%

Total P&L

+$814

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.06

Max Drawdown

365.2%

ROI

11.7%

Profit Factor

1.31

Kelly Fraction

0.123

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?	BUY	48.0¢	115	May 8
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	SELL	51.0¢	30	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "China" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	53.0¢	295	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	36.0¢	605	May 7
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	190	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	38.0¢	995	May 7
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	525	May 7
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	48.0¢	30	May 7
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?	BUY	34.0¢	995	May 7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?	BUY	51.0¢	135	May 7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?	BUY	51.0¢	670	May 7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?	BUY	51.0¢	45	May 7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?	BUY	51.0¢	250	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	41.0¢	540	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	41.0¢	660	May 7
Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	62.0¢	130	May 6
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?	BUY	42.0¢	5	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	SELL	55.0¢	150	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	56.0¢	55	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	56.0¢	95	May 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.6%

Win Consistency43.2%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity52 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,6721d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue