0xf30aaa...4b6884

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.3%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

368

Sharpe Ratio

1.76

Sortino Ratio

4.36

Max Drawdown

488.6%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.96

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	69.9¢	1.84	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	16.8¢	0.66	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	5.0¢	3.42	Mar 3
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	5.0¢	10.63	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	44.0¢	9.19	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	13.47	Mar 3
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	27.3¢	5.44	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	13.47	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	SELL	15.0¢	15.2	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	15.2	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	14.0¢	3.42	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	11.93	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	7.298	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	38.0¢	9.18	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.1¢	19.23	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	4.0¢	36.78	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	5.3¢	36.78	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%

Win Consistency48.1%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity368 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$173d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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