0xf3265d...dfce15

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$954

Trade Count

146

Sharpe Ratio

-0.62

Sortino Ratio

-0.67

Max Drawdown

71000.0%

ROI

7.0%

Profit Factor

12.91

Kelly Fraction

0.461

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?	BUY	98.4¢	10	Feb 19
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins	SELL	40.0¢	350	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.2¢	292	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.2¢	50	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.2¢	4	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.7¢	5	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.7¢	11	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.7¢	110	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.7¢	11	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.8¢	7	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	91.8¢	10	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	BUY	91.7¢	20	Jan 17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	BUY	91.7¢	480	Jan 17
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos	SELL	32.0¢	460	Jan 16
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demons	SELL	39.0¢	1,190	Jan 16
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Albany Great Danes	BUY	40.0¢	550	Jan 15
UMBC Retrievers vs. Bryant Bulldogs	BUY	56.0¢	970	Jan 15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.0¢	30,934.49	Jan 15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.0¢	50.51	Jan 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency18.8%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity146 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$462d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue