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0xf346e4...3d3370

0xf346e4...3d3370
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
47.1%
Total P&L
+$97
Trade Count
38
Sharpe Ratio
3.79
Sortino Ratio
365.08
Max Drawdown
1142.4%
ROI
24.6%
Profit Factor
5.37
Kelly Fraction
0.383
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL28.8¢13.63Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY22.0¢13.636Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSELL7.0¢2.6Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY37.9¢2.638Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSELL54.0¢2.35Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY41.9¢2.387Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?SELL96.0¢30.22Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL97.1¢7.25Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?BUY96.0¢30.229Mar 4
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL89.0¢32.6Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY95.5¢7.257Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL20.0¢34.66Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY24.0¢34.667Mar 4
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY47.0¢23.404Mar 4
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY46.0¢32.609Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL10.1¢12.48Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.8¢35.05Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY84.0¢22.136Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%5%10–20%18%20–30%23%30–50%23%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.5%
Win Consistency57.9%
Profit Factor1.44
Drawdown Resilience1.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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