0xf34f7c...424d6e

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.2%

Total P&L

+$924

Trade Count

317

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

186.3%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

1.12

Kelly Fraction

0.065

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	34.6¢	577.692	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.8¢	467.808	Mar 5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	99.9¢	394.73	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.2¢	383.701	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	99.9¢	378	Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	38.0¢	394.737	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	74.0¢	378.378	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	506.58	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	38.5¢	528.666	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	45.4¢	448.18	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	538.329	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	73.6¢	555.55	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	73.9¢	121.243	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	555.556	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	74.9¢	224.52	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	259.74	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.8¢	550.59	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	49.8¢	200.803	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	55.9¢	358.024	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	55.3¢	542.367	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.6%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity300 trades · 76 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,77219d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue